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Future of urban transport

The current battleground in urban transport is between those advocating public transport (trains and buses) and those favouring cars. Neither part strives to claim to cover all needs – both acknowledge the space for the other – so it’s merely a matter of balance in the share of new infrastructure investments.

It must be noted: Both aim to address the present situation.

But what will be the future of urban transport? Well transport in general, but the key problems today are in the urban areas, hence to focus here. For me, the future is in self driving cars, and the effect of that is massive. Add to that our assumption that they will be electric rather than fossil powered.

There will be self owned, self driving, cars, which will still not need to be parked in the most dense urban areas. They can be told to park outside rather than wasting space in the middle of the city.

But there will also be car pools of self driving cars. Uber is most interested in adding this to their portfolio. Via an app you schedule the car ride as today, but you are driven by the car and not a driver.

Key conclusions

  • There will be MUCH less need for urban parking space which means that we have more space for urban offices and accommodation
  • Taxidriver is not an job of the future. The amateur taxi drivers of Uber was just the beginning.
  • There will be a MUCH less need for new cars in general and fossil ones in particular – stocks in car manufacturers not in the forefront of electric, self driving cars are not a long term investment.
  • We will still need roads, which is why I am still biassed towards the ones favouring car infrastructure.
  • Petrol stations will be e-filling stations, but there is no point in serviced ones. Our cars will go there themselves when asked or when they conclude that they need it. They will not go into the shop and buy a paper, Snickers bars nor sausages.
  • The number of road kills and injuries will drastically go down, when humans are not drivin
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